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May 2003 Volume 3.01


Why Should I have confidence in this Information?

by Rodger Gallagher

"Confidence in the Customer Value Added (CVA) process means I can have confidence in using the results information"

Often when managers are first introduced to CVA information and see how it can be used to guide business decision making, they need assurance that the information provided is reliable and accurate. In the words of one manager, "I place great importance on an accurate customer survey process because it is the basis for our business improvement priorities. If the results are inaccurate this may cause us to invest in and focus on the wrong improvements.

What I need is for someone to 'teach' me how the CVA improvement recommendations are accurately derived from the customer survey process.

When I have confidence in the accuracy of the process I can have confidence in using the results to their best advantage and will support the ongoing customer survey process whole heartedly."

That seems quite a reasonable request doesn't it? The points raised cover many of the important issues for undertaking and applying the findings from customer research.

With the Customer Value Added approach we use a set of tools and techniques that used together and applied well, have been found to provide reliable business information. The approach works in diverse cultures including Australia, Brazil, Fiji, Korea, and the United Kingdom and has been used for improving washing machines and support services, packaging products sales and service, and medical laboratory support services.

The ultimate test for confidence in customer information must be whether implemented business recommendations made on the basis of the CVA information flow through into market results. This proof has been established in multiple markets around the world. But many managers want to understand the data analysis and modelling process, rather than accept a black box overall proof.


CVM clients need to be able to say, "The most important things to our customers are X and Y, and we know this because they told CVM how well we are doing, and the econometric models reveal what impacts their purchasing"

This simple statement encapsulates what managers need to understand about CVA data analysis and econometric models. In establishing confidence in the information they are concerned that 'an error in the formula will deliver the wrong answer', so they need to understand the formula not the answer. How do they know that all the things that are important to customers have been captured, and accurate weightings of their relative level of importance in the customers' loyalty decision have been determined?

Simple regressions on customer satisfaction are sometimes used as a way of determining if a subattribute has a high impact on overall satisfaction. With this approach it is often difficult to determine importance weightings, as usually the correlation coefficients come out very similar. You are also faced with the question of do you consider the correlation to customer satisfaction or the correlation to loyalty.

The inherent weaknesses in these techniques are the reasons why we do not use them. Instead what we do is develop a customer value tree and use multiple regression techniques within each branch of the tree to determine the impact weights for that branch of the tree. From the multiple regression correlation coefficients we calculate elasticities and from these we calculate the impact weights.

Within each branch of the tree, sometimes the impact weights are similar. e.g. Two items both at 20%. If this is the case then the importance order for the two items is determined by the client's performance level and the client's performance relative to the competition. The regression modelling also provides a metric which measures 'model fit'. Essentially this is a built in safety check which tells us whether we have captured all the things that are important to the customer for each branch of the customer value tree.

As Customer Satisfaction only has a weak link to loyalty and purchasing, we do not ask a customer satisfaction question. Instead we ask a series of questions on the key purchase criteria, and overall questions on Products & Services, and Costs Benefits & Price, followed by overall Value Received and Loyalty questions. It is Value, which has the highest link to future purchase behaviour.


The Answer

So the answer to the question is:
"The most important things to customers in their buying decisions and for loyalty, are Key Purchase Criteria X, Y, and Z. We know this, because the people we surveyed rated how well the client and their competition are doing on each Purchase Criteria and the Value Drivers of each criteria. We have weighted their responses by undertaking econometric multiple regression modelling on each branch of the Customer Value Tree, from the Value Drivers through the Key Purchase Criteria to overall value and loyalty.

When the buying decision factors are ranked in order of importance to the customer, and the client's performance is ranked alongside each one, we can easily see the priority performance perception gaps we must focus on."

Melbourne Reflections



"Meet me at the baths". It's a long time since anybody said that to me and it was a bit chilly for a swim. But these were the Middle Brighton Baths on the beach of Port Phillip Bay just out of Melbourne, and we were heading for the restaurant. Sometimes architects get buildings just right for a superb site and this is one of those buildings. It just has a great feel from the time you start up the stairs to the first floor restaurant, until you are seated and admire the view from Williamstown in the west across the city skyline of Melbourne's CBD with the yachts of Middle Brighton's Marina in the foreground. The noise of chatter from a full restaurant of happy people completes the ambience.


And now of course to the serious business of the menu. Naturally, a restaurant by the sea has to have seafood. With Brighton Middle Baths' menu packed with many choices it was hard to choose, but I settled for an entrée of seared scallops with mashed potato and lemon chilli jus. Keeping with the seafood theme I followed this with a main of barramundi accompanied by brussel sprouts, lardons and wild mushrooms.

The waiter then twists my arm gently and I select a dessert of white chocolate and griottine crème brulee. It is finished with a thin layer of flambéed toffee. The whole meal is perfect in terms of cooking, presentation and delivery.

An ideal meal in an ideal setting.

The baths themselves first opened in 1881 and were a centre for recreation for many years. After being extensively damaged in a storm in 1934, they reopened in 1936. If you can't make it to the baths then you can find them on the internet at http://www.middlebrightonbaths.com.au/


Regards,


Rodger Gallagher

 

 

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